Anthropic lab leak by...?
關於「Anthropic lab leak：何時之前？」
目前「June 30, 2027」領先，機率 9%（一週前 7%）。總成交 $163K，近 24 小時 $1K。流動性 $41K。預計於 2027/6/30（美東時間）截止。
規則
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Confirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required. Investigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
December 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
關於「Anthropic lab leak：何時之前？」
目前「June 30, 2027」領先，機率 9%（一週前 7%）。總成交 $163K，近 24 小時 $1K。流動性 $41K。預計於 2027/6/30（美東時間）截止。
規則
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Confirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required. Investigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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