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U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

量 $201.9K · 預估結束 12/31 23:59
量 $201.9K · 流動性 $19.1K

關於「美國12月31日承認馬查多為委內瑞拉領導人?」

目前「No」領先,機率 95%(一週前 97%)。總成交 $202K,近 24 小時 $196。流動性 $19K。預計於 2026/12/31(美東時間)截止。

規則

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.