US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
關於「美國會在 2026 年承認禮薩·巴勒維為伊朗領導人嗎？」
目前「No」領先，機率 96%（一週前 97%）。總成交 $649K，近 24 小時 $5K。流動性 $25K。預計於 2026/12/31（美東時間）截止。
規則
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the "leader of Iran" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for "leader of Iran" status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "prime minister," or other similar roles that give him primary executive authority in the territory of Iran. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026
關於「美國會在 2026 年承認禮薩·巴勒維為伊朗領導人嗎？」
目前「No」領先，機率 96%（一週前 97%）。總成交 $649K，近 24 小時 $5K。流動性 $25K。預計於 2026/12/31（美東時間）截止。
規則
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the "leader of Iran" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for "leader of Iran" status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "prime minister," or other similar roles that give him primary executive authority in the territory of Iran. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
訂單簿 · 是
均價 4.3¢