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Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

量 $195.7K · 預估結束 12/31 23:59
量 $195.7K · 流動性 $14.6K

關於「Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?」

目前「No」領先,機率 97%(一週前 98%)。總成交 $196K。流動性 $14K。預計於 2026/12/31(美東時間)截止。

規則

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location. Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.