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UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

量 $285.6K · 預估結束 12/31 23:59
量 $285.6K · 流動性 $24.7K

關於「UNSC 決議支持美國與伊朗在 12 月 31 日之前達成最終協議?」

目前「No」領先,機率 91%(一週前 90%)。總成交 $286K,近 24 小時 $187。流動性 $25K。預計於 2026/12/31(美東時間)截止。

規則

On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.