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Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

量 $295.7K · 預估結束 12/31 23:59
量 $295.7K · 流動性 $28.9K

關於「2026年美國會入侵拉丁美洲國家嗎?」

目前「No」領先,機率 95%(一週前 92%)。總成交 $296K,近 24 小時 $1K。流動性 $28K。預計於 2026/12/31(美東時間)截止。

規則

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.