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Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

量 $625.5K · 預估結束 12/31 23:59
量 $625.5K · 流動性 $28.7K

關於「伊朗會在2027年之前退出NPT嗎?」

目前「No」領先,機率 88%(一週前 86%)。總成交 $625K,近 24 小時 $568。流動性 $29K。預計於 2026/12/31(美東時間)截止。

規則

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT. The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.