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US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

出来高 $649.1K · 終了(推定) 12/31 23:59
出来高 $649.1K · 流動性 $25K

「US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?」について

現在「No」が 96% でリード(1週間前 97%)。総取引高 $649K、直近24時間 $5K。流動性 $25K。2026/12/31(米東部時間)締切予定。

ルール

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the "leader of Iran" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for "leader of Iran" status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "prime minister," or other similar roles that give him primary executive authority in the territory of Iran. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.