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Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?

Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?

出来高 $120.6K · 終了(推定) 12/31 23:59
出来高 $12.5K · 流動性 $17.4K
出来高 $108K · 流動性 $32.1K

「ヴィクトル・オルバーンは12月31日までに逮捕される?」について

現在「June 30, 2027」が 25% でリード(1週間前 24%)。総取引高 $121K、直近24時間 $5K。流動性 $49K。2026/12/31(米東部時間)締切予定。

ルール

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Viktor Orbán is arrested or detained by law enforcement by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.