Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?
「Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza：いつまでに？」について
現在「December 31」が 12% でリード（1週間前 11%）。総取引高 $777K。流動性 $19K。2026/12/31（米東部時間）締切予定。
ルール
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza between May 5, 9:00 PM ET, and May 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
December 31
December 31
「Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza：いつまでに？」について
現在「December 31」が 12% でリード（1週間前 11%）。総取引高 $777K。流動性 $19K。2026/12/31（米東部時間）締切予定。
ルール
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza between May 5, 9:00 PM ET, and May 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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