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Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?

Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?

거래량 $120.6K · 종료(예상) 12. 31. 23:59
거래량 $12.6K · 유동성 $15.8K
거래량 $108.1K · 유동성 $36.8K

「빅토르 오르반이 12월 31일까지 체포될까?」 정보

현재 「June 30, 2027」 25%로 선두 (1주 전 24%). 총 거래량 $121K, 최근 24시간 $5K. 유동성 $52K. 2026. 12. 31.(미 동부시간) 마감 예정.

규칙

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Viktor Orbán is arrested or detained by law enforcement by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.