
October 31, 2026

October 31, 2026
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December 31, 2027 leads at 40% (42% a week ago). $3.0M traded in total, $11K in the last 24 hours. Liquidity $262K. Scheduled to close 12/31/2026 (ET).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
December 31, 2027 leads at 40% (42% a week ago). $3.0M traded in total, $11K in the last 24 hours. Liquidity $262K. Scheduled to close 12/31/2026 (ET).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.