the U.S. invade Iran before 2027
the U.S. invade Iran before 2027
Avg price 19.5¢
No leads at 81% (85% a week ago). $75.5M traded in total, $157K in the last 24 hours. Liquidity $308K. Scheduled to close 12/31/2026 (ET).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
No leads at 81% (85% a week ago). $75.5M traded in total, $157K in the last 24 hours. Liquidity $308K. Scheduled to close 12/31/2026 (ET).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.