Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
关于「到 12 月 31 日，任何 AI 模型都会达到 ___ 竞技场总得分吗？」
目前「↑ 1540」领先，概率 36%（一周前 47%）。总成交 $225K，近 24 小时 $206。流动性 $4K。预计于 2026/12/31（美东时间）截止。
规则
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
↑ 1540
↑ 1540
关于「到 12 月 31 日，任何 AI 模型都会达到 ___ 竞技场总得分吗？」
目前「↑ 1540」领先，概率 36%（一周前 47%）。总成交 $225K，近 24 小时 $206。流动性 $4K。预计于 2026/12/31（美东时间）截止。
规则
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
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