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Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

量 $790.7K · 预估结束 12/31 23:59
量 $790.7K · 流动性 $34.7K

关于「2026年伊波拉大流行?」

目前「No」领先,概率 97%(一周前 98%)。总成交 $791K,近 24 小时 $2K。流动性 $35K。预计于 2026/12/31(美东时间)截止。

规则

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.