French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
关于「法国总统大选：谁将宣布参选 2026 年？」
目前「Dominique de Villepin」领先，概率 72%（一周前 54%）。总成交 $118K，近 24 小时 $324。流动性 $154K。预计于 2027/4/18（美东时间）截止。
规则
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Jordan Bardella
Jordan Bardella
关于「法国总统大选：谁将宣布参选 2026 年？」
目前「Dominique de Villepin」领先，概率 72%（一周前 54%）。总成交 $118K，近 24 小时 $324。流动性 $154K。预计于 2027/4/18（美东时间）截止。
规则
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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