
目前「No」领先,概率 99%。总成交 $2.0M,近 24 小时 $35。流动性 $21K。预计于 2026/12/31(美东时间)截止。
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Human moon landing in 2026

Human moon landing in 2026
目前「No」领先,概率 99%。总成交 $2.0M,近 24 小时 $35。流动性 $21K。预计于 2026/12/31(美东时间)截止。
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
均价 1.3¢