
目前「No」领先,概率 97%。总成交 $137K,近 24 小时 $10。流动性 $18K。预计于 2027/1/1(美东时间)截止。
This market will resolve to “Yes” if official information released by any of the following major centralized exchanges: Binance, Coinbase, Bybit, OKX, or Kraken, official representatives of such exchange (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that the exchange is insolvent or is filing/has filed for any variety of bankruptcy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Major CEX insolvent in 2026

Major CEX insolvent in 2026
目前「No」领先,概率 97%。总成交 $137K,近 24 小时 $10。流动性 $18K。预计于 2027/1/1(美东时间)截止。
This market will resolve to “Yes” if official information released by any of the following major centralized exchanges: Binance, Coinbase, Bybit, OKX, or Kraken, official representatives of such exchange (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that the exchange is insolvent or is filing/has filed for any variety of bankruptcy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
均价 3.2¢