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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

量 $51.3K · 预估结束 10/31 19:59
量 $51.3K · 流动性 $20.8K

关于「皮特·赫格斯 (Pete Hegseth) 将于 10 月 31 日卸任国防部长职务?」

目前「No」领先,概率 99%(一周前 97%)。总成交 $51K,近 24 小时 $154。流动性 $21K。预计于 2026/10/31(美东时间)截止。

规则

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.