U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
关于「美国12月31日承认马查多为委内瑞拉领导人？」
目前「No」领先，概率 95%（一周前 97%）。总成交 $202K，近 24 小时 $196。流动性 $19K。预计于 2026/12/31（美东时间）截止。
规则
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31
关于「美国12月31日承认马查多为委内瑞拉领导人？」
目前「No」领先，概率 95%（一周前 97%）。总成交 $202K，近 24 小时 $196。流动性 $19K。预计于 2026/12/31（美东时间）截止。
规则
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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均价 5.3¢