US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
关于「美国会在 2026 年承认礼萨·巴勒维为伊朗领导人吗？」
目前「No」领先，概率 96%（一周前 97%）。总成交 $649K，近 24 小时 $5K。流动性 $25K。预计于 2026/12/31（美东时间）截止。
规则
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the "leader of Iran" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for "leader of Iran" status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "prime minister," or other similar roles that give him primary executive authority in the territory of Iran. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026
关于「美国会在 2026 年承认礼萨·巴勒维为伊朗领导人吗？」
目前「No」领先，概率 96%（一周前 97%）。总成交 $649K，近 24 小时 $5K。流动性 $25K。预计于 2026/12/31（美东时间）截止。
规则
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the "leader of Iran" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for "leader of Iran" status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "prime minister," or other similar roles that give him primary executive authority in the territory of Iran. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
订单簿 · 是
均价 4.3¢