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Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

量 $341.1K · 预估结束 12/31 23:59
量 $341.1K · 流动性 $34.7K

关于「2027 年之前会有新国家加入《亚伯拉罕协议》吗?」

目前「No」领先,概率 92%(一周前 85%)。总成交 $341K,近 24 小时 $496。流动性 $35K。预计于 2026/12/31(美东时间)截止。

规则

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.