Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?
关于「到 12 月 31 日，一件艺术品会卖到 1.5 亿美元吗？」
目前「Yes」领先，概率 88%（一周前 81%）。总成交 $2K，近 24 小时 $164。流动性 $1K。预计于 2026/12/31（美东时间）截止。
规则
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31
an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31
关于「到 12 月 31 日，一件艺术品会卖到 1.5 亿美元吗？」
目前「Yes」领先，概率 88%（一周前 81%）。总成交 $2K，近 24 小时 $164。流动性 $1K。预计于 2026/12/31（美东时间）截止。
规则
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
订单簿 · 是
均价 87.5¢