Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
关于「Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?」
目前「No」领先，概率 98%。总成交 $199K。流动性 $7K。预计于 2026/12/31（美东时间）截止。
规则
On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future (see https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2024/12/does-googles-new-quantum-chip-willow-threaten-bitcoin-the-crypto-community-responds/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin stops using SHA-256 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.
Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027
Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027
关于「Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?」
目前「No」领先，概率 98%。总成交 $199K。流动性 $7K。预计于 2026/12/31（美东时间）截止。
规则
On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future (see https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2024/12/does-googles-new-quantum-chip-willow-threaten-bitcoin-the-crypto-community-responds/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin stops using SHA-256 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.
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