跳到主要内容
Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?

Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?

量 $767.5K · 预估结束 12/31 23:59
量 $300 · 流动性 $12.1K

关于「Iran hold a presidential election:何时之前?」

目前「December 31」领先,概率 4%(一周前 9%)。总成交 $768K。流动性 $12K。预计于 2026/12/31(美东时间)截止。

规则

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place. Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution. Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.