Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?
关于「Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza：何时之前？」
目前「December 31」领先，概率 12%（一周前 9%）。总成交 $777K。流动性 $18K。预计于 2026/12/31（美东时间）截止。
规则
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza between May 5, 9:00 PM ET, and May 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
December 31
December 31
关于「Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza：何时之前？」
目前「December 31」领先，概率 12%（一周前 9%）。总成交 $777K。流动性 $18K。预计于 2026/12/31（美东时间）截止。
规则
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza between May 5, 9:00 PM ET, and May 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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