
目前「No」领先,概率 82%(一周前 77%)。总成交 $11K,近 24 小时 $150。流动性 $3K。预计于 2026/12/31(美东时间)截止。
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31

Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31
目前「No」领先,概率 82%(一周前 77%)。总成交 $11K,近 24 小时 $150。流动性 $3K。预计于 2026/12/31(美东时间)截止。
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
均价 18.0¢