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Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?

量 $10.9K · 预估结束 12/31 23:59
量 $10.9K · 流动性 $3.1K

关于「特斯拉会在 12 月 31 日前于加州推出机器人出租车吗?」

目前「No」领先,概率 82%(一周前 77%)。总成交 $11K,近 24 小时 $150。流动性 $3K。预计于 2026/12/31(美东时间)截止。

规则

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.