Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
关于「2026年美国会入侵拉丁美洲国家吗？」
目前「No」领先，概率 95%（一周前 92%）。总成交 $296K，近 24 小时 $1K。流动性 $19K。预计于 2026/12/31（美东时间）截止。
规则
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026
the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026
关于「2026年美国会入侵拉丁美洲国家吗？」
目前「No」领先，概率 95%（一周前 92%）。总成交 $296K，近 24 小时 $1K。流动性 $19K。预计于 2026/12/31（美东时间）截止。
规则
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
订单簿 · 是
均价 5.5¢