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Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

量 $7.8M · 预估结束 12/31 23:59
量 $865.2K · 流动性 $58K

关于「the US officially declare war on Iran:何时之前?」

目前「December 31」领先,概率 3%(一周前 2%)。总成交 $7.8M,近 24 小时 $1K。流动性 $58K。预计于 2026/12/31(美东时间)截止。

规则

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.