Will any country leave NATO by...?
关于「any country leave NATO：何时之前？」
目前「December 31, 2026」领先，概率 5%。总成交 $1.4M，近 24 小时 $52。流动性 $13K。预计于 2026/12/31（美东时间）截止。
规则
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty. A country's exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". That country must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
December 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
关于「any country leave NATO：何时之前？」
目前「December 31, 2026」领先，概率 5%。总成交 $1.4M，近 24 小时 $52。流动性 $13K。预计于 2026/12/31（美东时间）截止。
规则
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty. A country's exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". That country must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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